IBKR Portfolio 26W34

Statistics

Deposit270.0 [0.0]
Net652.8 [+16.8]
Gain382.8 [+16.8]
Cash-323.5 [-3.9]
Long976.3 [+20.7]
TR%1M3M1Y3Y
SPY+2.33.4+21.8+80.9
QQQ+0.6-0.0+27.3+99.5
MXWO+2.9+4.2+22.2+80.8
IBKR+13.0+14.5+52.5+185.1
exposure 260821
cash 260821

Based on a net liquidation value of $652.8k.
Total adjusted leverage ratio is 1.54.

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Largest Positions

TRankPrevTickerCompanyUSD1WΔ%
↔ 11BMNR^BITMINE IMMERSION TECHNOLOGI58.811.49.0
↔ 22285A.TKIOXIA HOLDINGS CORP34.20.45.2
↔ 33RCP.LRIT CAPITAL PARTNERS PLC21.1-0.23.2
↔ 44PLTRPALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES INC-A19.80.63.0
↔ 55BSTBLACKROCK SCIENCE & TECH TR14.9-0.12.3
↔ 66IGVISHARES EXPANDED TECH-SOFTWA10.3-0.11.6
78PGHN.SWPARTNERS GROUP HOLDING AG9.80.01.5
87NVDANVIDIA CORP9.7-0.51.5
↔ 99GLXYGALAXY DIGITAL INC-A9.50.81.4
↔ 1010BXBLACKSTONE INC8.60.01.3
11145020.TENEOS HOLDINGS INC8.40.31.3
12133750.HKCONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHN-H8.30.11.3
1311GOOGLALPHABET INC-CL A8.30.01.3
14NRASSTSTRIVE INC-A8.22.71.3
1512GPW.WAWARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE8.1-0.11.2
16173234.TMORI HILLS REIT INVESTMENT C8.10.11.2
1720ICEINTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE IN8.10.31.2
1815ARKK*ARK INNOVATION ETF8.00.01.2
1815IBKR*INTERACTIVE BROKERS GRO-CL A8.00.01.2
20188601.TDAIWA SECURITIES GROUP INC7.8-0.11.2

Covered calls :
* Fully covered
^ Partially covered

Dropped out :
MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC (MU)

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Actions

Entered :

PBRPETROLEO BRASILEIRO-SPON ADROil & Gas IntegratedEnergy
CLFCLEVELAND-CLIFFS INCSteelBasic Materials
ZTSZOETIS INCDrug Manufacturers – Specialty & GenericHealthcare
HDBHDFC BANK LTD-ADRBanks – RegionalFinancial Services

Increased :

STNESTONECO LTD-ASoftware – InfrastructureTechnology
5802.TSUMITOMO ELECTRIC INDUSTRIESAuto PartsConsumer Cyclical
SPCXSPACE EXPLORATION TECHN-CL AAerospace & DefenseIndustrials

Decreased :

ADBEADOBE INCSoftware – ApplicationTechnology
KULRKULR TECHNOLOGY GROUP INCElectronic ComponentsTechnology

Exited :

AVGOBROADCOM INCSemiconductorsTechnology
TMDXTRANSMEDICS GROUP INCMedical DevicesHealthcare
VBVANGUARD SMALL-CAP ETFVanguardSmall Blend

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Notes

  • No special notes regarding the portfolio.
  • Bessent came out in multiple interviews this week in support of the Treasury’s liquidity-support buybacks of 10-30y Treasuries. This operation is backed by issuing short-duration debt.
  • As a result, crypto prices were strong this week, sending BTC and ETH higher by 21% and 29%, respectively. Gold also had a strong showing as it rose 5% to support the overall debasement trade. Open interest has shifted heavily in favor of the call side in gold.
image
  • One caveat is that gold (along with others in the same debasement bucket) has recently traded in reciprocal to 2y-10y yield spread. As the US Treasury continues the Treasury’s version of “Operation Twist” where the 10y yield is artifically suppressed, this spread will move in a direction that is less favorable to gold.
260823 00
  • High-beta Momo (high momentum) went through another round of unwinding, as the number of large single-day selloffs (>5%) this year eclipsed the total from the previous 5 years combined. GSPRHIMO has failed to get near the peak reached in late June as it struggles under the 200-day MA. However, the collapse of the Situational Awareness fund seems to have marked the bottom of the selloff and even with Citadel ultimately liquidating over 80% of the fund we have not seen new lows for this index. It should be noted that this index weight has slowly shifted from the AI hardware sector to the Software sector.
260823 02
  • One interesting note: South America has gone through a Conservative realignment as many of these nations have voted in favor of right-wing candidates since 2025. As such, countries such as Brazil (run by the left-wing Socialist Lula da Silva) offer interesting risk-reward opportunities with the possibility of a regime change in October 2026. Numana will add to its Petrobras and Nu Holdings shares while also introducing Vale to the portfolio. These plays also contribute to the energy shortage and debasement theses.
260823 03
  • Nvidia earnings and Jackson Hole news will dominate next week’s events. Numana maintains the opinion that these events will have favorable near-term outcomes.

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Upcoming Earnings

8/26 (Wed) :
CRM, CRWD, NVDA, OKTA, 0836.HK, 6838.HK, VIG.VI

8/27 (Thu) :
ADSK

8/28 (Fri) :
0267.HK, 2328.HK, 3988.HK, STR.VI

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