IBKR Portfolio 26W31

Statistics

Deposit270.0 [0.0]
Net569.9 [+4.7]
Gain299.9 [+4.7]
Cash-315.8 [+7.8]
Long885.7 [-3.1]
TR%1M3M1Y3Y
SPY+0.0+4.2+19.5+69.4
QQQ-6.6+3.2+22.4+82.4
MXWO+0.6+4.5+20.6+67.9
IBKR+3.6+5.6+39.4+130.6
exposure 260802
cash 260802

Based on a net liquidation value of $565.7k.
Total adjusted leverage ratio is 1.57.

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Largest Positions

TRankPrevTickerCompanyUSD1WΔ%
↔ 11BMNR^BITMINE IMMERSION TECHNOLOGI59.34.810.4
↔ 22285A.TKIOXIA HOLDINGS CORP29.5-4.75.2
↔ 33RCP.LRIT CAPITAL PARTNERS PLC20.80.73.6
↔ 44BSTBLACKROCK SCIENCE & TECH TR13.90.32.4
56PLTRPALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES INC-A13.52.52.4
69IGVISHARES EXPANDED TECH-SOFTWA9.50.71.7
↔ 77PGHN.SWPARTNERS GROUP HOLDING AG9.20.11.6
811NVDANVIDIA CORP9.00.81.6
920GOOGLALPHABET INC-CL A8.50.91.5
1012BHP.AXBHP GROUP LTD8.50.31.5
11145020.TENEOS HOLDINGS INC8.40.41.5
128ASML.ASASML HOLDING NV8.3-0.61.5
13143234.TMORI HILLS REIT INVESTMENT C8.30.21.4
1417GPW.WAWARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE8.00.11.4
15188601.TDAIWA SECURITIES GROUP INC8.00.11.4
↔ 1616IBKR*INTERACTIVE BROKERS GRO-CL A8.00.01.4
1719BXBLACKSTONE INC7.7-0.11.3
18NRICEINTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE IN7.60.31.3
19NRADSKAUTODESK INC7.00.71.2
20NRPAASPAN AMERICAN SILVER CORP6.91.61.2

Covered calls :
* Fully covered
^ Partially covered

Dropped out :
MITSUBISHI CORP (8058.T)
OKTA INC (OKTA)
PALO ALTO NETWORKS INC (PANW)

Note: 3234.T was not previously included in the top 20 holdings as an error.

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Actions

Entered :

1802.TOBAYASHI CORPEngineering & ConstructionIndustrials
OWLBLUE OWL CAPITAL INCAsset ManagementFinancial Services
TOYOTOYO CO LTDSolarTechnology
AMDADVANCED MICRO DEVICESSemiconductorsTechnology
ISRGINTUITIVE SURGICAL INCMedical Instruments & SuppliesHealthcare
KKRKKR & CO INCAsset ManagementFinancial Services
TTDTRADE DESK INC/THE -CLASS AAdvertising AgenciesCommunication Services
HALOHALOZYME THERAPEUTICS INCBiotechnologyHealthcare
COHRCOHERENT CORPScientific & Technical InstrumentsTechnology
RDDTREDDIT INC-CL AInternet Content & InformationCommunication Services
ORCLORACLE CORPSoftware – InfrastructureTechnology

Increased :

NST.AXNORTHERN STAR RESOURCES LTDGoldBasic Materials
NVDANVIDIA CORPSemiconductorsTechnology
PAASPAN AMERICAN SILVER CORPGoldBasic Materials
GLWCORNING INCElectronic ComponentsTechnology
PLTRPALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES INC-ASoftware – InfrastructureTechnology
EOSEEOS ENERGY ENTERPRISES INCElectrical Equipment & PartsIndustrials
DXYZDESTINY TECH100 INCAsset ManagementFinancial Services
5803.TFUJIKURA LTDConglomeratesIndustrials
KTOSKRATOS DEFENSE & SECURITYAerospace & DefenseIndustrials
SOFISOFI TECHNOLOGIES INCCredit ServicesFinancial Services

Decreased :

8058.TMITSUBISHI CORPConglomeratesIndustrials
OKTAOKTA INCSoftware – InfrastructureTechnology
ADBEADOBE INCSoftware – ApplicationTechnology
HLIHOULIHAN LOKEY INCCapital MarketsFinancial Services

Exited :

6762.TTDK CORPORATIONElectronic ComponentsTechnology
7832.TBANDAI NAMCO HOLDINGS INCLeisureConsumer Cyclical
9074.TJAPAN OIL TRANSPORTATION CORailroadsIndustrials
SS1.AXSUN SILVER LTDOther Precious Metals & MiningBasic Materials
4231.TTIGERS POLYMER CORPSpecialty ChemicalsBasic Materials
DHLU.SIDAIWA HOUSE LOGISTICS TRUSTREIT – IndustrialReal Estate
SQN.SWSWISSQUOTE GROUP HOLDING-REGCapital MarketsFinancial Services
CITHE CIGNA GROUPHealthcare PlansHealthcare
PANWPALO ALTO NETWORKS INCSoftware – InfrastructureTechnology
KEPKOREA ELEC POWER CORP-SP ADRUtilities – Regulated ElectricUtilities
EGEVEREST GROUP LTDInsurance – ReinsuranceFinancial Services
NTNXNUTANIX INC – ASoftware – InfrastructureTechnology
BNBROOKFIELD CORPAsset ManagementFinancial Services
NK.PAIMERYS SASpecialty ChemicalsBasic Materials
ZMZOOM COMMUNICATIONS INCSoftware – ApplicationTechnology
MKTXMARKETAXESS HOLDINGS INCCapital MarketsFinancial Services

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Notes

  • There was large turnover this week within the portfolio, as a comprehensive reassessment of each portfolio company was processed using several fundamental metrics. Low-growth names were sold in favor of high-growth names, especially those involved in the AI infrastructure boom.
  • Semiconductors took a huge hit as Aschenbrenner’s Situational Awareness LP was taken out by Citadel’s trading division. It was most likely a targeted hit on the 4x leveraged LP, and Citadel likely shorted all the way down and closed out most of the shorts using the new positions from the Situational Awareness fund acquisition.
  • Headline PCE slowed in June as it was in the negative for the first time since 2020. The annual rate decreased to 3.7% from 4.1% in the prior month.
  • The market still expects a 25bps hike in September, with the FedWatch tool putting the chances of a hike at 67%. The Fed’s dot plot is all over the place, but rates holding for 2026 still has the most votes.
260802 00
  • Based on UBS estimates, hyperscalers are expected to increase memory spend significantly into 2027, as shown below.
260802 01
  • It should be noted that we are entering the period before midterm elections where returns have mostly been muted. However, markets have tended to explode higher once the uncertainties of the midterms have been taken off the books.
260802 02
  • However, with the AI capex supercycle at its early stages, there may be a noticeable offset to the upside. Although there have been some concerns about funding (noted by CDS premiums) the big players should have enough liquidity and funding sources to continue to increase spending into 2027. Microsoft was the latest to confirm that there will be no slowdown in capital expenditure in FY 2027.
  • The US has continued with its on-and-off rhetoric on its offensive in Iran, and this continued into this weekend as Trump announced that there would be a pause in strikes as “the perimeters of a deal has been agreed to” between Iran and other Gulf nations. At face value this seems like another round in the conflict and the outcome is as uncertain as ever. An end to the conflict would likely cause short-term price decreases on downstream energy products, but there will definitely be an increase in the investment into energy infrastructure to reduce future risks.

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