IBKR Portfolio 26W25

Statistics

Deposit270.0 [0.0]
Net565.6 [+4.0]
Gain295.6 [+4.0]
Cash-273.0 [-3.9]
Long838.6 [+7.9]
TR%1M3M1Y3Y
SPY+2.0+13.8+26.8+76.4
QQQ+5.6+25.1+40.7+104.8
MXWO+2.2+13.1+26.2+73.1
IBKR+1.4+15.2+50.2+134.0

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Largest Positions

TRankPrevTickerCompanyUSD1WΔ%
↔ 11BMNRBITMINE IMMERSION TECHNOLOGI43.60.17.7
↔ 22RCP.LRIT CAPITAL PARTNERS PLC18.4-0.43.3
↔ 33MUMICRON TECHNOLOGY INC18.12.43.2
↔ 44BSTBLACKROCK SCIENCE & TECH TR14.40.82.5
↔ 55SMT.LSCOTTISH MORTGAGE INV TR PLC13.5-0.82.4
↔ 668058.TMITSUBISHI CORP11.3-0.42.0
↔ 77PSH.LPERSHING SQUARE HOLDINGS LTD10.30.01.8
↔ 88ASML.ASASML HOLDING NV9.50.11.7
915PGHN.SWPARTNERS GROUP HOLDING AG9.31.41.6
↔ 1010PLTRPALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES INC-A9.00.01.6
119IGVISHARES EXPANDED TECH-SOFTWA8.9-0.21.6
↔ 1212GOOGLALPHABET INC-CL A8.80.21.6
1311BHP.AXBHP GROUP LTD8.6-0.31.5
↔ 1414TSLATESLA INC8.0-0.11.4
1513ARKKARK INNOVATION ETF8.00.41.4
1613IBKRINTERACTIVE BROKERS GRO-CL A8.00.01.4
1718KULRKULR TECHNOLOGY GROUP INC7.90.31.4
18165020.TENEOS HOLDINGS INC7.80.11.4
1917CDNSCADENCE DESIGN SYS INC7.70.01.4
↔ 2020BXBLACKSTONE INC7.40.11.3

Covered calls :
* Fully covered
^ Partially covered

Dropped out :
None.

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Actions

Entered :

CHRDCHORD ENERGY CORPOil & Gas E&PEnergy
LEUCENTRUS ENERGY CORP-CLASS AUraniumEnergy

Increased :

3234.TMORI HILLS REIT INVESTMENT CREIT – DiversifiedReal Estate
3309.TSEKISUI HOUSE REIT INCREIT – DiversifiedReal Estate
PGHN.SWPARTNERS GROUP HOLDING AGAsset ManagementFinancial Services

Decreased :

OSCROSCAR HEALTH INC – CLASS AHealthcare PlansHealthcare

Exited :

None.

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Notes

  • Semiconductors continued its surge this week, as SMH was up 8.3% this week even while suffering a mid-week dip.
  • The conflict involving the Strait of Hormuz was officially resolved with President Trump signing the agreement in Paris. Brent ended the week priced at $78/barrel, lower by 5.3% this week.
  • Kevin Warsh debuted as the Fed Chair this week, as rates held steady. Rate expectations were elevated as the tone of possible rate cuts later this year were shifted to rate hikes. Long-term yields were near unchanged for the week despite the news.
  • The portfolio will continue to increase exposure to real estate, as the increase in central bank rates around the world has not led to the same effect in borrowing rates. Meanwhile, the reason for why rates have increased are evident, as housing inflation for residences in desired locations have commanded a signficant premium in terms of rent and purchase value.
  • The portfolio will also hold its preference to software names over hardware names, as the capital expenditure boost has mostly played out through extensive rallies in semiconductors. Meanwhile, the AI scare has been unrelentless even for companies that are likely to be aided rather than hurt by the onset of AI. As an example, Palantir now trades at 40 times revenue, which is around the levels it reached back in 2022, even with YoY revenue growth set to hit 77% and GAAP EPS expected to increase 131% for 2026.
  • Blockchain adoption and the integration of this new technology into the back end of banking, security, and validation networks along with the tokenization of real assets will only continue and any weakness in the price of Ethereum will only mean that the eventual rally will have larger alpha. There is a possibility that the large dislocation between the innate value and the current trading levels of Ethereum refuse to narrow in 2026 due to macro effects, but by 2027 it is likely that holders will be rewarded for their patience.
  • Even with a possible correction with the new Fed Chair being more hawkish than expected and midterm elections later this year, Numana holds the opinion that the next 10-20% dip is to be bought, and that the rally expected in 2027-2028 will be spectacular in strength. The basis for this that the AI fervor along with strong EPS growth will lead indices to reach peak levels seen only during the onset of the Internet, and there that will be intense buying through extended corporate and personal credit.

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